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Nick Sparrow’s first PB polling column
The LibDem Collapse, Fact or Fiction The latest polls indicate that if another general election were to be held tomorrow Labour would sweep back to power with a majority (assuming uniform swing) of 46...
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And now Roger on the Oscars – this year decided by AV
(Every year on PB Roger gives us his Oscar predictions and betting advice. Those who who’ve followed his analysis have generally come out as winners – let’s hope it’s the same this year – MS) Where...
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When is party thinking going to move on from the 80s?
A guest slot by CycleFree According to the weekend’s papers, Ed Milliband is going to argue that his “Promise for Britain” means that “bankers and those on welfare need to have a sense of...
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Mark Gill on the private/public sector worker divide?
(Mike Smithson is on holiday for the next 11 days and one of the features on PB during his absence is a series of articles by Mark Gill – former head of political research at Ipsos-MORI and co-author...
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Will the public ever learn to love the Conservatives?
Is detoxification harder when the party is in power? One of the lessons from the 2005-2010 Parliament was the need for the Conservative Party to go much further in tackling its image problem –...
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Will the scandal impact on public views of the press?
Mark Gill puts it in an international perspective The phone hacking scandal is unlikely to make a huge difference to the public’s view of the press. The chart below shows the proportion of people who...
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Was it the women who cost the Tories an overall majority?
Do the blues have a long-term problem? There is currently a great deal of speculation that the Conservatives are failing to appeal to women voters and the party will suffer electorally because of...
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David Cameron: the second most popular prime minister?
Mark Gill looks at the PM’s ratings ahead of today’s speech Prime minister David Cameron goes to Manchester as the second most popular of the last five prime ministers at the stage of their second...
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Europe: it’s not just about the money
After the Slovak “No”, Mark Gill looks at polling on Europe There are many reasons explaining why European nations have different views on whether their country benefits from EU membership. History,...
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Who will come out best in London’s other elections?
Wikimedia Commons Sean Fear asks if this is a big chance for LAB? The London Mayoral contest rightly commands the lion’s share of public attention. There is, however, another set of elections, due to...
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How London Voted
Wikimedia Commons Sean Fear reviews the Mayoral and Assembly elections The London Mayoral election was closer than expected. Boris Johnson finished up beating Ken Livingstone by 44% to 40% on first...
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Can the SNP and Greens work together in the pro-independence campaign?
James Kelly on the pro-independence campaign If there is to be a Yes vote in the Scottish independence referendum, a prerequisite is surely that the Yes campaign itself is as broadly-based as...
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The Pursuit of Excellence
A guest slot by Financier The London Olympics has witnessed a magnificent competition by the global family of athletes (of many disciplines) who have strived for just three prizes in each event: gold,...
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Betting opportunities on Julian Assange
Guest slot by David Lenton. Unless you’ve been living under a rock for the last 12 months then I’m sure you’ve heard of Julian Assange – you know that kinda weird looking guy from Wiki Leaks? Anyway...
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How will the Scottish independence referendum affect the next general election
James Kelly looks at the various scenarios. One thing is for sure – Scotland will be returning MPs to Westminster at the next general election, whenever it is held. On the SNP’s proposed timetable, a...
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antifrank looks ahead to 2013
So, what lies ahead for politics in 2013? Pausing only to admire my willingness to have a go, given my mediocre track record in predictions, let’s get stuck in. The current state of play Where are...
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Corporeal on David Cameron and the NHS
The Three letters of David Cameron When David Cameron won the Conservative party leadership contest he said he could state his priorities in three letters: NHS. More than any other issue, from the Big...
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Corporeal asks: Are the Kippers a red herring?
In case you didn’t notice there was a by-election the other day in Eastleigh, and UKIP did rather well (as did some of our punters). So now is the time to glance ahead at the markets for UKIP at the...
View ArticleCorporeal on Lady Thatcher
Northern Echo: We’ll always remember her #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 17, 2013 With the passing of Margaret Thatcher, many obituaries have...
View ArticleTSE on Making Your Mind Up on who to back at Eurovision.
Whilst the polls show Brits remain cynical about Eurovision and think it is all about politics, some of us enjoy Eurovision for that reason, for the music and the betting opportunities. With the...
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